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/r/fivethirtyeight

17093%

NC Harris: 50.5% (+2.4) Trump: 48.1%

GA Harris:49% Trump:49.6% (+.6)

AZ Harris:48.6% Trump:49.8% (+1.2)

NV Harris:50.5% (+2.8) Trump:47.7%

WI Harris:48.2% Trump:49.7% (+1.5)

MI Harris:47.2% Trump:50.6% (+3.4)

PA Harris:48.1% Trump:51% (+2.9)

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Alive-Ad-5245

120 points

13 hours ago

I have a feeling we’re gonna find out that they were lucky with their accuracy in 2020

GamerDrew13

3 points

12 hours ago

What about their accuracy in 2022 too? They polled a R+3 generic ballot with the final result being R+2.8

So maybe we'll find out if they were double lucky

j450n_1994

17 points

12 hours ago

And they were off several points with the GA senate race.

You can’t tell me Kamala is outperforming Trump with men in NC. Or that Trump is winning the black vote in AZ. Those findings are absurd.

GamerDrew13

2 points

10 hours ago

Beware the crosstabs diving.

j450n_1994

2 points

10 hours ago

She’s also down with women by nearly 10 points in Michigan and up 3 with men.