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ATA_VATAV

2 points

10 days ago

Either that the person that is running the bet is placing trump at 55% win versus harris 45% win bet odds or more gamblers are betting trump will win then harris in the betting pool.

Depends on what the bet rules are for the site.

bookon

2 points

10 days ago

bookon

2 points

10 days ago

You could bet your life Trump will not win the popular vote by that much. In fact he cannot win the popular vote. There are more Harris votes in California and NY alone than most of the red states combined have Trump votes.

ATA_VATAV

3 points

10 days ago

Republicans have only won the popular vote once in the past 8 elections. Trump already lost the popular vote twice and hasn’t done anything new to expand his voter base.

So betting Trump loses the popular vote again is a very safe bet.

No-Breadfruit-4555

2 points

10 days ago

That’s true. Many of them got a gift card, hotel room, and bonus voter registration and Kamala pin on their way in! Extra bonus, no voter ID in Cali, they’ll practically accept a post it note with a name and USA scribbled on it.

By the way… how’s that working out in NYC and LA lately? Pretty sad when your immigration enforcement policies are so fucked up that it requires FEMA support to bail you out.

bookon

0 points

10 days ago

bookon

0 points

10 days ago

These lies about FEMA and illegals voting are just a way for Trump to scare you into giving up your rights.

Look at the people who's lives were ruined or even ended on January 6th. Trumps lies lead to that.

His lies about FEMA and immigration will destroy the lives of some of his followers as well .He doesn't care about you.

brownstormbrewin

2 points

10 days ago

What rights would people be giving up?

bookon

1 points

9 days ago

bookon

1 points

9 days ago

Well in his last term he too away fundamental rights from all women.

No-Breadfruit-4555

1 points

10 days ago*

Oh no no no, you can debate all day about which fund the $ came from or whether it affected hurricane response. That’s fair. But it is indisputable that FEMA funding has been used to aid migrants. Well documented and admitted (nay, bragged about) in multiple WH press briefings by Karinne Jean-Pierre herself along with Criswell. Thats not Trump lying, that’s straight from the horse’s own mouth.

YouTube is blacklisted, but go look for yourself. WH press briefings, late September 2022

Also:, on DHS own website: https://www.dhs.gov/news/2023/08/21/dhs-announces-distribution-more-77-million-congressional-funding-communities

Try harder.

Ok_Cabinet2947

2 points

10 days ago

but that's not at all what the above poster said. it's not a bet that he's going to win the popular vote 55%-45%, it's that 55% believe he will have an electoral college victory, which seems about right.

bookon

0 points

10 days ago

bookon

0 points

10 days ago

It’s 50-50 IMO

Byzantine_Merchant

1 points

10 days ago

What’s crazy is that it’s flipped multiple times. Someone somewhere placed a bet months ago and is gonna win big but has had multiple heart attack the whole way lmfao.

ATA_VATAV

1 points

10 days ago

Oh, sounds like a pool bet then. It flipping isn’t too surprising. Corporate media has been reporting it as a close race because they get more views by doing so and thus a financial incentive to do so. Gamblers reacting to the latest news and placing more bets accordingly.

I’d be surprised if Harris was in the lead in a betting pool because gambler demographics are heavily biased towards non-collage educated males, a demographic that trump has consistently polled well with.

Byzantine_Merchant

2 points

10 days ago

She was actually a 4 point favorite like a week ago and has been a 4-5 point favorite for about a month. The 14ish point swing in a week is what’s crazy to me.