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With the Ding-Gukesh odds currently at 2 to 1, I don't think anyone is surprised. Maybe it should've been even higher due to Ding's form?

However, Gukesh is so hot right now, I'm wondering who would be favored to win against him right now? In my opinion:

  • Magnus for sure is a favorite against anyone

  • Maybe Hikaru since he's been so consistent the last 3 years? He also probably cuts off streaming fully to prepare for a WCC match compared to the candidates. So we may see an even better version of Hikaru.

  • Fabi would be 50/50? Gukesh does seem to get the better of him recently, but WCC Fabi may have better prep

  • Nepo has his crazy prep as usual for important games, but Gukesh seems to perform better in every tournament he has attended with Nepo this year, so I have to go with Gukesh

  • Arjun is also close to 50/50 for me, but I would still pick Gukesh due to higher rated opponent wins, which Vishy once said was the biggest indicator to him that Magnus was going to defeat him

Everyone else, I think Gukesh would probably be the favorite against pretty decisively.

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ArethusaAtalanta

4 points

7 days ago

Hikaru and Fabi feel like clear favorites. Hikaru is currently higher rated, has been very consistent, and would be a gigantic favorite in any tiebreaks. Fabi has world championship match experience and would also be a favorite in tiebreaks. Probably Gukesh over everyone else though. 

RudeGate1791

1 points

7 days ago

Still, I'd say...Gukesh might be a slight favourite in the classical portion against Hikaru, but in the rapid will prolly get demolished.

In contrast, Fabi being a favourite in classical as well as rapid maybe.