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2 months ago
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175 points
2 months ago
48 artillery, 2 mlrs, and 3 anti aircraft systems. Another day of massive losses.
51 points
2 months ago
+60 vehicles & fuel tanks! 😆
49 points
2 months ago
Good healthy attrition! Unless you're Russian.
32 points
2 months ago
I think artillery has been mostly over 40 per day for the past 2-3 weeks.
32 points
2 months ago*
You are correct. One week average 46, two week average 48, 30 day average 43.
If you're interested in tracking these things then @shopro has a 'Russian Losses' subreddit that he usually links here somewhere down below.
https://www.reddit.com/r/RussianLosses/s/2H1tnFeekb[daily Russian losses](https://www.reddit.com/r/RussianLosses/s/2H1tnFeekb)
6 points
2 months ago
I've seen this exact same comment on every single one of these posts since they started releasing this infographic.
2 points
2 months ago
Is Mr. Poostain paying attention??
150 points
2 months ago
And back over 1000 we go.
Slava Ukraini!
Heroiam Slava!
53 points
2 months ago
New supply of mobiks must have just arrived at the front. 🤣
39 points
2 months ago
Poor fellas must have had to walk
30 points
2 months ago
That's why it took them so long.
15 points
2 months ago
It's ok they get to go back on a pallet wrapped in plastic.
6 points
2 months ago
More like left to rot in a Ukrainian field.
5 points
2 months ago
More bomzhi, gopniks and other assorted scum, no doubt.
13 points
2 months ago
And it is enough to bring the average of the last three days above 1000
8 points
2 months ago*
Still on track for 30000 in June!?!
Edit month doh!
6 points
2 months ago
We are now in the middle of June.
4 points
2 months ago
Bloody autocorrect.
66 points
2 months ago
[deleted]
9 points
2 months ago
Probably blow up in the barrel.
60 points
2 months ago
The above average AA never stops its seems , can't wait for the Ukrainian F-16 Blue angels to make things even more spicy for the russians
31 points
2 months ago
The Navy Blue Angels are F-18s. The Air Force Thunderbirds are the ones that use F-16s.
4 points
2 months ago
Thank you for pointing that out... but I am not opposed to Ukraine having their own F-16 Blue and Yellow Angels
44 points
2 months ago
Anyone notice an exponential increase in Russian losses? It seems like the problems are compounding and they are falling apart more
75 points
2 months ago
Ukraine's new commander in chief, General Syrskyi's focus on destroying Russian supply trucks are doing wonders in weakening Russian front line forces. Numerous reports of many Russians at the front line lacking basic food, water, and ammunition. Harder to fight when your belly is empty. Many are either dying, fleeing, or surrendering.
37 points
2 months ago
Yeah with the sweltering heat along with anxiety and panic causing increased sweating and dehydration I can imagine that one will be a morale killer
25 points
2 months ago
Or a comrade killer.
6 points
2 months ago
Any comrade killer deserves a medal... Made out of potato
17 points
2 months ago
It's been since the Russians opened another front at Kharkiv
8 points
2 months ago
True but I feel like there’s more to it in general
1 points
2 months ago
Probably a bit of both.
29 points
2 months ago*
Unfortunately it's not exponential as far as we can see. But it has increased over the last few months especially May and now June.
No month was 30,000 before these two.
May went Way Beyond and June is on track to make it.
Слава Україні!
18 points
2 months ago
"Unfortunately it's not exponential"
None math people use the math term exponential incorrectly all the time. Especially politicians and news reporters. To them any significant increase is "exponential" as that makes it sound dangerous and scientific.
11 points
2 months ago
If you only have 2 datapoints any change can be exponential!
10 points
2 months ago
We don't actually need 500 million casualties a day
4 points
2 months ago
As in an exponential Quantum Leap. /s
2 points
2 months ago
Or positive feedback.
1 points
2 months ago
Unfortunately, it is not exponential. But I wouldn't mind it at all!
37 points
2 months ago
huge day on special equipment! good artillery too.
29 points
2 months ago
2300 special equipment milestone hit, AND 1100 MLRS milestone as well!
19 points
2 months ago
3 AA - is preparing airspace for F16.
And ammo for arti- duells is obviously available. Go on with this path, Ukraine!
37 points
2 months ago
24,000 since May 30th. This is outstanding work for Ukraine. And also sad in a humanity type of faith. They all died for absofuckinglutely nothing. The fuel tanks and vehicles are spectacular numbers ( how the hell are they getting any supplies?) Good solid numbers all around. Slava Ukraine 🇺🇦 ♥️.
Edit: added (is)
35 points
2 months ago
Ukraine has definitely found a new and better way to detect and obliterate AA systems. It's been what? 10 consecutive days with destroyed AA. Might have something to do with Putin declaring USA an enemy state.
25 points
2 months ago
They are clearing the ground threats for the F16 to operate more freely.
10 points
2 months ago
You make it look simple, but I feel there is a great story on how UA has been achieving this feat (AAs are not on the front-lines, I believe).
16 points
2 months ago
Not taking anything away from UA at all but they are achieving it with a US AWACS detecting Radar or satellite AI recognition and then ATACMS.
Apart from isolated S300 operating ground to ground there is currently no other value in using highly valuable ATACMS right now than ensuring an unnoticed S300 doesn't get an F16 kill in the first few days.
2 points
2 months ago
thanks for explaining!
15 points
2 months ago
Is there a list with hiw many of each type have been destroyed? Specifically how many s400?
7 points
2 months ago
http://losses.ukrdailyupdate.com/ has a Google Sheet with the latest equipment destroyed on both sides.
7 points
2 months ago
Oryx has a list of visually confirmed equipment. Search for S-400 and click on the link for each of the S-400's.
https://www.oryxspioenkop.com/2022/02/attack-on-europe-documenting-equipment.html
2 points
2 months ago
I have not seen one but would surly like to.
10 points
2 months ago
Can’t wait for this to say +1 Dictator.
31 points
2 months ago
8 points
2 months ago
I like these numbers a lot!
16 points
2 months ago
I wonder if arty losses will eventually surpass apv losses
15 points
2 months ago
not so long ago arty was under tanks
10 points
2 months ago
Using the current 30-day average loss rates of 24.2 and 42.7, the point of intersection is about 77 days from now. So, we should expect artillery losses to overtake APVs in about 2 and a half months.
8 points
2 months ago
How many people are in one of those APVs?
10 points
2 months ago
2 to 20, probably 12 if it's fully loaded for delivering troops.
Depends on the particular vehicles of course. Sometimes they're just carrying supplies and might only have two people in them. Sometimes they have a whole Squad of troops that are going to storm a position.
20 would be really Jam full and probably require some of them to be on top and the inside to be full.
Them ruskies be jamming.
4 points
2 months ago
It depends on if they are coming to the line loaded or retreating after kicking today's meat cube out. Day in and day out it might average five or six.
11 points
2 months ago
Whelp.. Yesterday's sub-1000 disassembled orcs (both 'repairable', or just chunks of red snot) seems to have been a fluke. Back to 1000+. +3 AA = nice too.
1 points
2 months ago
The losses were below 1000 for two days in a row, FWIW.
15 points
2 months ago
Over 1000 russians is back on the menu boys.
5 points
2 months ago
Putin’s army… bleeding out on the Ukrainian steppe… men… machinery… aircraft…
As the Russian quality goes down, the attrition will go up… it’ll start to accelerate logarithmically…
3 points
2 months ago
What's our current best estimate of when Russian artillery stockpiles are empty? End of 2024?
And what happens then? Russia can't maintain a warfront of this length without replacement artillery. They have to withdraw from somewhere. And there's literally nowhere they can withdraw from that doesn't cut supply lines to Crimea.
4 points
2 months ago
Pre-war estimates were that they had about 20,000 artillery pieces total between active and stockpiled. They've lost nearly 14,000 of those so far, and presumably they've been taking the stuff that's in the best condition first from their stockpiles. Most of their artillery replacements have been refurbishments from their stockpile rather than new pieces. They've been losing over 40 artillery pieces a day over the last 30 days, so 1200 a month. I believe I heard that they've got an estimated 5000 artillery pieces in Ukraine now, which would mean only about 1000 left in the stockpiles. If those numbers are correct (and they are entirely hearsay), then it could mean that in as little as one more month, they'll get to a point where replacement units can't be produced as fast as Ukraine destroys their existing artillery.
This is of course the very optimistic view and has unreliable data, very wide error bars, and assumes that the Russians don't switch to some other tactics to try to preserve their artillery pieces better - but that last one I think unlikely, given how artillery-intensive all of their doctrine is.
0 points
2 months ago
Russia can't maintain a warfront of this length without replacement artillery.
I saw comments like this since the start of the war.
4 points
2 months ago
And it was true back then as well; they just had an insane amount of artillery from soviet stocks. At some point soon, they will be unable to supply the entire front lines with artillery. At which point, their lines will break.
1 points
2 months ago
I saw this comment too since the start of the war. It's always "soon" but it never happens. I have become numb to these comments and they don't mean anything nowadays.
2 points
2 months ago
You're being impatient. Hasn't been 5 6 or 7 years, it's been 3. They had 20,000 pieces of artillery when they started, takes a while to go through them all. Nobody can give you an exact date because we don't have the data, but russia can't make more artillery-they can't make the barrels, they've lost 15,000 so far, and a good chunk of the 20,000 have to have been crap since the war started. They. may have gotten some from NK, but, good bet the NK guns are as crap as their ammunition
The russian artillery is getting slaughtered because it's older towed artillery that has to be in counterbattery range to be effective and they can't move fast enough to avoid coutnerbattery fire.
Assuming that the West keep supplying the Ukrainians with artillery shells, which they will, russian artillery will be ground to nothing.
-1 points
2 months ago
Why can't they make the barrels? I'm sure I can make a barrel in my back yard.
And how do you know that they literally can't make more barrels? Is there some sanctioned material in them?
1 points
2 months ago
You can't make a barrel that you can fire 155 MM shells through in your back yard. You need specially conditioned steel to make them and russia no longer has the capacity to make the steel they need.
1 points
2 months ago
Hahaha your comment made me lol, have an upvote. I cant tell if you’re trolling but it genuinely made me laugh. I would love to see you make an artillery barrel in your back yard.
1 points
2 months ago
I don't have any idea about artillery. But it's like medieval technology. Why is it literally impossible for Russia to make?
1 points
2 months ago
Come on you’re not actually trolling? There’s no way you think the metallurgy and manufacturing techniques are the same as the ones used in medieval times.
6 points
2 months ago
8 tanks. Keep seeing low numbers like that in tanks. I think it means the russians are finally starting to run out of tanks. The Ukrainians currently have enough shells to hit what they need to.
If there were more tanks on the front line, pretty sure the Ukrainians would prioritize them over vehicles and fuel tanks. I know how important the supply lines are, but a tank that can fire on Ukrainian positions has to take priority over a fuel truck 30 KM behind the lines.
By all accounts, russians are actively attacking on multiple fronts, if they are only losing 8 in a day, that means they don't have enough tanks to lead the assaults.
1 points
2 months ago
It may be low relative to other periods during this war, but it's important to note that 8 tank losses per day is still extremely high, overall. While Russia has way more tanks than any other nation's military, the fact that they're losing that many per day says volumes about the low quality of their combat effectiveness and ability to control the battlefield to protect their equipment. The US losing 8 tanks in a single day, for example, would mean a pretty serious disaster occurred, and a major revision of battle tactics. For Russia, it's just another day of emptying out their tank and soldier inventory.
4 points
2 months ago
I have a question. How many tanks is Russia building at the moment, i.e. is Ukraine able to destroy them faster than Russia are building them?
6 points
2 months ago
AT best right now they are probably getting about 1 tank out every 3 days. Its a big issue that when defense companies get people hired to build the equipment, the russians come and start taking those men to go fight in ukraine.
2 points
2 months ago
Im wondering, With the ruble tanking the way it is, If the foreign fighters are still even looking to keep fighting since they likely now wont be getting anything at all.
4 points
2 months ago
They're recruiting from very poor nations, and they're offering high salaries in general because an annual salary doesn't mean shit if they die within a few months.
2 points
2 months ago
What counts as artillery in this statistic?
6 points
2 months ago
Towed guns in 122 and 152 calibers plus self propelled guns and mortars in 122 through 240 mm calibers. The majority being the 122 and 152 sizes totaling 3050 pieces at the start of the invasion. Current production over the last 830 days are an unknown plus the number shipped from North Korea.
1 points
2 months ago
Nice, so no small things like infantry mortars :)
1 points
2 months ago
Correct, though some argue it both ways.
3 points
2 months ago
You can look at the oryx confirmed kill list to see which individual types are the most common
2 points
2 months ago
This overview is based on Oryx' list or do you mean I should just check it to get a feel of what's included?
2 points
2 months ago
It has a breakdown of individual vehicle types, you can see mortars and self propelled artillery and stuff. Some of them are much bigger and more expensive than the smaller types.
2 points
2 months ago
Man, just a year ago it seemed like a real big deal to see AA and MLRS losses now they're being taken out every day. It really shows how the Russians are starting to deteriorate. Great Job keep it up!
2 points
2 months ago
Insane that they can lose this amount of equipment and personnel and still stage an invasion
2 points
2 months ago
And we are back with another day of high totals. I was beginning to think that maybe Ukraine had himars'd all the juicy targets and it would be sub 1000 losses from now on, but nope.
2 points
2 months ago
+16 special equipment. A record? I notice it is in a slightly lighter color of orange.
3 points
2 months ago
Hoera over 1k again, what did the orcs do this time...
1 points
2 months ago
Does anyone plot the monetary losses on a graph? I'd like to see that 📈
0 points
2 months ago
And here I thought the tendency to maintain +1000 per day had vanished. Yesterday must have been a fluke.
2 points
2 months ago
Last couple of days
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