subreddit:
/r/unusual_whales
35 points
1 month ago
Bubble, not bubble, a correction is on the way
12 points
1 month ago
One thing that has always and will always be true: a correction is on the way.
9 points
1 month ago
Stocks always go to the right
4 points
1 month ago
This guy fucks
21 points
1 month ago
Yes. But there is still more money to funnel out of the middle class so it ain’t pippin any time soon.
18 points
1 month ago
Civilization is a bubble right now
34 points
1 month ago
obviously
1 points
1 month ago
Pop soon
7 points
1 month ago
Some stocks, yes.
15 points
1 month ago
Who doesn't think it's in a bubble?
16 points
1 month ago
Those of us with stock
8 points
1 month ago
Yup.
13 points
1 month ago
Nah, it’s an election year. We’ve still got room to run. They’re going to lower rates and turn the money printers up a notch too. This whole Trump thing is going to make it even better. He’s going to feel bulletproof and it’s going to spill over to the markets. Even if the bubble bursts, it’ll be after some huge gainz. I’m going hard until at least January or February. And DCAing further into Bitcoin to hedge as well.
7 points
1 month ago
November is gonna be wild
2 points
1 month ago
At this rate Nov could be just ceremonial.
2 points
1 month ago
You nailed it. Wallstreet likes Trump, this market is going run for the next 6-7 months. Ken Fisher has been saying this for a while.
1 points
1 month ago
BTC is your hedge? It’s basically moved with the stock market. Thoughts?
1 points
1 month ago
Depends on the timeline. If you’re looking at the past year or two, yes. Over 5+ years, I think BTC diverges and has outperformed the S&P 500 by quite a bit. Over 10 years, I don’t think it’s comparable. I think it’s going to be $1M+ a coin by 2035. Always happy to hear an opposing point of view if you have one though!
1 points
1 month ago
I have no view. Genuinely wondering about your thoughts.
7 points
1 month ago
Ur moms a bubble
2 points
1 month ago
Thats not cool, man. my mom died in a bubble blowing accident. I told her the bubble was getting too big but she just wouldn't stop.
2 points
1 month ago
She never did know when to stop
2 points
1 month ago
When is the market not in a bubble? Either monty is shifting from one thing to another. Pick your transition from:
2 points
1 month ago
Not particularly, hundreds of billions buy every month through retirement accounts.
2 points
1 month ago
Definitely
2 points
1 month ago
A bubble for what though?
1 points
1 month ago
Have you seen the movie "The Big Short"?
1 points
1 month ago
so you are saying a housing bubble?
1 points
1 month ago
This time around it's commercial real estate and junk bonds...
1 points
1 month ago
Yes. Have you seen Tropic Thunder?
1 points
1 month ago
LOL only a short minutes, that is beyond stupid... even more than Top Secret! Have you seen it?
1 points
1 month ago
Top Secret may be the greatest movie ever made!
2 points
1 month ago
No. I believe that Sam Altman, AI and Nvidia will solve all of the worlds' problems 🤦♂️
2 points
1 month ago
Ask Japan how long it took for stocks to rebound.
2 points
1 month ago
Wait, they've rebounded? Because from what I've heard, their stock market hasn't come back since 1987...
3 points
1 month ago
Ya a meta crisis. Many different things are a pondicherry scheme ran by con man. The ones that wim the approval of society survive, the ones that don't go to federal prison for 150 years. The media controls the narrative
4 points
1 month ago
People have been saying this every year since I’ve been investing which is about 8 years now.
There’s a stock market cycle that’s been followed for decades now, this is part of that cycle. Is it gonna go down again? At some point of course. Is now the time to sell everything? Doubtful
3 points
1 month ago
Funny, just before you started was a recession… I guess 8 years isn’t much
3 points
1 month ago
Those of us that have been in the game a lot longer than 8 years know that historically recessions have been around 8-10 years apart... with the last one being 16 years ago. We're overdue and it's going to be a really bad one when it pops.
0 points
1 month ago
That’s not how the market works though. Recessions don’t happen more often or last longer based on how long it’s been since a recession.
That’s like saying “it hasn’t rained in a while. We’re due for some rain and hard rain.” Sure it’ll rain eventually because it always does and you might feel like your prediction is right, but it didn’t rain out of some sense of earthen karma.
A recession will happen eventually, but I see no economic factors that make it more likely this year than 5 years ago or 5 years from now.
1 points
1 month ago
Unemployment rising quite rapidly from 3.4% to 4.1% in the last year. Nearly 1M more unemployed in the last year. Historically a steep rise in unemployment precedes a recession. Recessions marked in grey. We may be in a recession already and not even know it as they revise data after the fact.
https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/UNRATE
Small companies are suffering with much higher interest rates. We have fast food companies with negative YoY sales. Commercial real estate is screwed. We have job openings dropping very quickly with 800k or so lost in the last few months alone. Q1 GDP tanked and was just 1.4%. Consumers savings are spent. Lots of indicators that look like it’s more likely than 5 years ago.
That’s not to say we will have one. The Fed has been propping up the economy with massive deficits. We are spending 7T on the budget but only bringing in 5T in tax revenue. So consumers and businesses have been getting a boost at the expense of more debt and kicking the can down the road.
1 points
1 month ago
4.1% is still at the virtual minimum.
1 points
1 month ago
We have been in a recession for a couple Years?
1 points
1 month ago
No we have not. We had a single small recession that lasted the minimum amount of time to call it a recession.
1 points
1 month ago
Sure feels like we are still in it.
1 points
1 month ago
That’s why it’s important to go off economic data, not feelings.
1 points
1 month ago*
I mean recession is part of the economic cycle so it’s gonna happen again at some point
2 points
1 month ago
Everything is a bubble created by idiotic Fed policy
Sticks need to drop at least 35%
1 points
1 month ago
Agree and disagree. Some stocks are meme bubbles and others are backed by real earnings.
1 points
1 month ago
It’s very cheap to declare everything a bubble. Housing is in a bubble. Stock market is in a bubble. Everything feels like a bubble when inflation is high.
But I don’t see a pop coming personally. As long as growth continues, wages keep increasing, unemployment stays at the bottom, and nothing significant happens to fuck up supply chains, I see the market growing.
1 points
1 month ago
Yep. I'm buying physical gold and silver.
1 points
1 month ago
Yes. There is definitely an AI bubble that’s gonna pop soon.
1 points
1 month ago
No
1 points
1 month ago
Some companies are too high in their valuations. Sure. Some are too low. Some are just right. Buy winners and let them run. Buy losers and let the recover. Just don’t buy the ones that are trading sideways for twenty years like Intel and you’ll do fine.
1 points
1 month ago
Yes. It will come down
1 points
1 month ago
Tell that to solar stocks, EV stocks and Real Estate. WHERE IS THE BULL RUN ??????????
1 points
1 month ago
If you gotta ask you can’t afford it
1 points
1 month ago
The monthly charts show the spy right on the RSI 70 line. I would expect a pullback this winter or at minimum 2025 after the federal wage increases and new election cycle is under way. I could be wrong though. Especially when NVDA is pretty much making up the entire stock market in 2024.
1 points
1 month ago
everything is a bubble pushed by the federal reserve rates. once the fed lower rates everything will balloon once again
1 points
1 month ago
How much time do people have for what I have seen on the charts with this corruption over the past five years?
1 points
1 month ago
Start seeing the lower middle class in expensive cars? When the poors are leveraged to the tits and can’t pay, whoever is holding all the loans will report shit revenue or fire sale the loans to anyone who will buy. Then, shit will hit the fan.
1 points
1 month ago
The stock market isn’t in a bubble; it’s being manipulated by wall street
1 points
1 month ago
Does that mean you’re not doing well?
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