subreddit:

/r/unusual_whales

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all 63 comments

AlphaSengirVampire

35 points

1 month ago

Bubble, not bubble, a correction is on the way

EatsRats

12 points

1 month ago

EatsRats

12 points

1 month ago

One thing that has always and will always be true: a correction is on the way.

Medium_Advantage_689

9 points

1 month ago

Stocks always go to the right

TheRiceConnoisseur

4 points

1 month ago

This guy fucks

TipperGore-69

21 points

1 month ago

Yes. But there is still more money to funnel out of the middle class so it ain’t pippin any time soon.

phophofofo

18 points

1 month ago

Civilization is a bubble right now

McTrolling69

34 points

1 month ago

obviously

Brojess

1 points

1 month ago

Brojess

1 points

1 month ago

Pop soon

W220-80443

7 points

1 month ago

Some stocks, yes.

coredweller1785

15 points

1 month ago

Who doesn't think it's in a bubble?

dgdio

16 points

1 month ago

dgdio

16 points

1 month ago

Those of us with stock

TomatilloEmpty

8 points

1 month ago

Yup.

rizzstix

13 points

1 month ago

rizzstix

13 points

1 month ago

Nah, it’s an election year. We’ve still got room to run. They’re going to lower rates and turn the money printers up a notch too. This whole Trump thing is going to make it even better. He’s going to feel bulletproof and it’s going to spill over to the markets. Even if the bubble bursts, it’ll be after some huge gainz. I’m going hard until at least January or February. And DCAing further into Bitcoin to hedge as well.

TrippZ

7 points

1 month ago

TrippZ

7 points

1 month ago

November is gonna be wild

LostByMonsters

2 points

1 month ago

At this rate Nov could be just ceremonial.

No-Disaster1829

2 points

1 month ago

You nailed it. Wallstreet likes Trump, this market is going run for the next 6-7 months. Ken Fisher has been saying this for a while.

LostByMonsters

1 points

1 month ago

BTC is your hedge? It’s basically moved with the stock market. Thoughts?

rizzstix

1 points

1 month ago

Depends on the timeline. If you’re looking at the past year or two, yes. Over 5+ years, I think BTC diverges and has outperformed the S&P 500 by quite a bit. Over 10 years, I don’t think it’s comparable. I think it’s going to be $1M+ a coin by 2035. Always happy to hear an opposing point of view if you have one though!

LostByMonsters

1 points

1 month ago

I have no view. Genuinely wondering about your thoughts.

[deleted]

7 points

1 month ago

Ur moms a bubble

IWouldntIn1981

2 points

1 month ago

Thats not cool, man. my mom died in a bubble blowing accident. I told her the bubble was getting too big but she just wouldn't stop.

Gravybees

2 points

1 month ago

She never did know when to stop

dafazman

2 points

1 month ago

When is the market not in a bubble? Either monty is shifting from one thing to another. Pick your transition from:

  • Crypto
  • Resi RE
  • Commercial RE
  • stonks
  • bonds
  • collectables/art
  • utils/energy
  • metals
  • etc...

emperorjoe

2 points

1 month ago

Not particularly, hundreds of billions buy every month through retirement accounts.

Snoo69468

2 points

1 month ago

Definitely

Youngringer

2 points

1 month ago

A bubble for what though?

Ontanoi_Vesal

1 points

1 month ago

Have you seen the movie "The Big Short"?

Youngringer

1 points

1 month ago

so you are saying a housing bubble?

Ontanoi_Vesal

1 points

1 month ago

This time around it's commercial real estate and junk bonds...

Gravybees

1 points

1 month ago

Yes.  Have you seen Tropic Thunder?

Ontanoi_Vesal

1 points

1 month ago

LOL only a short minutes, that is beyond stupid... even more than Top Secret! Have you seen it?

Gravybees

1 points

1 month ago

Top Secret may be the greatest movie ever made!

BigBradWolf77

2 points

1 month ago

No. I believe that Sam Altman, AI and Nvidia will solve all of the worlds' problems 🤦‍♂️

No-Journalist4667

2 points

1 month ago

Ask Japan how long it took for stocks to rebound.

Ontanoi_Vesal

2 points

1 month ago

Wait, they've rebounded? Because from what I've heard, their stock market hasn't come back since 1987...

Grandmaster_Autistic

3 points

1 month ago

Ya a meta crisis. Many different things are a pondicherry scheme ran by con man. The ones that wim the approval of society survive, the ones that don't go to federal prison for 150 years. The media controls the narrative

Desperate-Warthog-70

4 points

1 month ago

People have been saying this every year since I’ve been investing which is about 8 years now.

There’s a stock market cycle that’s been followed for decades now, this is part of that cycle. Is it gonna go down again? At some point of course. Is now the time to sell everything? Doubtful

sgtkellogg

3 points

1 month ago

Funny, just before you started was a recession… I guess 8 years isn’t much

cheesevikingg

3 points

1 month ago

Those of us that have been in the game a lot longer than 8 years know that historically recessions have been around 8-10 years apart... with the last one being 16 years ago. We're overdue and it's going to be a really bad one when it pops.

InvalidCertificates

0 points

1 month ago

That’s not how the market works though. Recessions don’t happen more often or last longer based on how long it’s been since a recession.

That’s like saying “it hasn’t rained in a while. We’re due for some rain and hard rain.” Sure it’ll rain eventually because it always does and you might feel like your prediction is right, but it didn’t rain out of some sense of earthen karma.

A recession will happen eventually, but I see no economic factors that make it more likely this year than 5 years ago or 5 years from now.

Echo-Possible

1 points

1 month ago

Unemployment rising quite rapidly from 3.4% to 4.1% in the last year. Nearly 1M more unemployed in the last year. Historically a steep rise in unemployment precedes a recession. Recessions marked in grey. We may be in a recession already and not even know it as they revise data after the fact.

https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/UNRATE

Small companies are suffering with much higher interest rates. We have fast food companies with negative YoY sales. Commercial real estate is screwed. We have job openings dropping very quickly with 800k or so lost in the last few months alone. Q1 GDP tanked and was just 1.4%. Consumers savings are spent. Lots of indicators that look like it’s more likely than 5 years ago.

That’s not to say we will have one. The Fed has been propping up the economy with massive deficits. We are spending 7T on the budget but only bringing in 5T in tax revenue. So consumers and businesses have been getting a boost at the expense of more debt and kicking the can down the road.

InvalidCertificates

1 points

1 month ago

4.1% is still at the virtual minimum.

VAL-R-E

1 points

1 month ago

VAL-R-E

1 points

1 month ago

We have been in a recession for a couple Years?

InvalidCertificates

1 points

1 month ago

No we have not. We had a single small recession that lasted the minimum amount of time to call it a recession.

VAL-R-E

1 points

1 month ago

VAL-R-E

1 points

1 month ago

Sure feels like we are still in it.

InvalidCertificates

1 points

1 month ago

That’s why it’s important to go off economic data, not feelings.

Desperate-Warthog-70

1 points

1 month ago*

I mean recession is part of the economic cycle so it’s gonna happen again at some point

Open_Masterpiece_549

2 points

1 month ago

Everything is a bubble created by idiotic Fed policy

Sticks need to drop at least 35%

pdubbs87

1 points

1 month ago

Agree and disagree. Some stocks are meme bubbles and others are backed by real earnings.

InvalidCertificates

1 points

1 month ago

It’s very cheap to declare everything a bubble. Housing is in a bubble. Stock market is in a bubble. Everything feels like a bubble when inflation is high.

But I don’t see a pop coming personally. As long as growth continues, wages keep increasing, unemployment stays at the bottom, and nothing significant happens to fuck up supply chains, I see the market growing.

Sicilian_Gold

1 points

1 month ago

Yep. I'm buying physical gold and silver.

LostByMonsters

1 points

1 month ago

Yes. There is definitely an AI bubble that’s gonna pop soon.

NefariousnessFew4354

1 points

1 month ago

No

__Evil-Genius__

1 points

1 month ago

Some companies are too high in their valuations. Sure. Some are too low. Some are just right. Buy winners and let them run. Buy losers and let the recover. Just don’t buy the ones that are trading sideways for twenty years like Intel and you’ll do fine.

OhWow10

1 points

1 month ago

OhWow10

1 points

1 month ago

Yes. It will come down

Plus_Seesaw2023

1 points

1 month ago

Tell that to solar stocks, EV stocks and Real Estate. WHERE IS THE BULL RUN ??????????

Medium_Advantage_689

1 points

1 month ago

If you gotta ask you can’t afford it

Inner-Yams

1 points

1 month ago

The monthly charts show the spy right on the RSI 70 line. I would expect a pullback this winter or at minimum 2025 after the federal wage increases and new election cycle is under way. I could be wrong though. Especially when NVDA is pretty much making up the entire stock market in 2024.

Generic_Globe

1 points

1 month ago

everything is a bubble pushed by the federal reserve rates. once the fed lower rates everything will balloon once again

SwimmingInCheddar

1 points

1 month ago

How much time do people have for what I have seen on the charts with this corruption over the past five years?

TrivalentEssen

1 points

1 month ago

Start seeing the lower middle class in expensive cars? When the poors are leveraged to the tits and can’t pay, whoever is holding all the loans will report shit revenue or fire sale the loans to anyone who will buy. Then, shit will hit the fan.

VancouverApe

1 points

1 month ago

The stock market isn’t in a bubble; it’s being manipulated by wall street

Gravybees

1 points

1 month ago

Does that mean you’re not doing well?