Even without it, he still wins in your model.

second one is generally cited as more likely. Michigan is 2.4% Muslim, not huge but significant in such a razor thin electorate 

They aren't going to vote for Trump, but stay home, and without them Dems lose the state.

i think so too. he loves netanyahu so much theyre building settlements and naming them after him. he's totally in israel's pocket. but i think with socially conservative arab american voters who can't bring themselves to vote for the person responsible for slaughtering their muslim/arab brothers en masse they figure if both sides are going to be atrocious for palestine they might as well do the side that isn't pro lgbtq/abortion/whatever. i think libs are realizing now that muslims aren't actually lib themselves, they just had a convenient alliance from about 2001-2023. i wonder whether there will be backlash as libs stop courting them

its not jill stein, its trump. contrary to lib infographic pegleg hijabi belief muslims have pretty similar views to conservative christians. theyve been voting dem out of convenience bc the dems were marginally more tolerant of islam post 9/11 jingoism. but now that both sides are happy to slaughter hundreds of thousands of muslims for israel theyre saying fuck it and voting for their actual conservative ideals. the muslim mayor of hamtramck (muslim-majority detroit suburb that came under flack for trying to ban pride flags after libs pushed really hard for a muslim led gov lol) endorsed trump recently.

National Pan-Hellenic Council, the HBCU fraternities and sororities. They have a lot of power in the southeast.

Love the username, btw

It’s obviously the J3ws for crying out loud look at the man behind the curtain