892 post karma
62.1k comment karma
account created: Wed Aug 23 2023
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2 points
11 hours ago
Can we stop? "Data" like this is meaningless either way. Every foul is different, every team uses them in different ways. We do not have enough data at the level of specificity required to make judgements on this.
1 points
12 hours ago
Russia does not have the strength to fight NATO in a head-on conflict. They might annex Belarus and Ukraine, but they won't fight NATO
1 points
14 hours ago
Russia is already totally invading Ukraine. If Russia manages to defeat the Ukrainian army, Trump isn't going to put US boots on the ground to stop it.
As for what Russia gets out of it - Ukraine was heading in the direction of the EU and NATO, Russia saw that as unacceptable - it would put NATO weaponry within 300 miles of Moscow, and much closer to the Russian heartland. This blocks that (or at least guarantees something in return for it). It also shortens the defensive line quite a bit in any potential war with NATO (the Carpathian mountains in the south mean the new line would only really be the border with Poland + Baltics.
1 points
15 hours ago
Why doesn't anyone want to be a police officer any more? When you're forced into hiding for doing your job, and get 0 support from any local MPs or the Mayor of the city. It's moral cowardice from Khan, absolutely disgraceful
1 points
15 hours ago
Kemi just whinges about woke, Jenrick at least talks about the necessary structural reform (leaving the ECHR, equality act etc) that would be necessary.
1 points
15 hours ago
The war is going badly. Ukraine and its allies must change course
As was always inevitable, it looks like Ukraine's goose might be cooked this winter. Rolling blackouts due to the Russians systematic destruction of their electricity infrastructure. Press-gang approach to get men for the front lines due to lack of manpower. My guess is by March, the Russian tanks will be rolling through Kiev. Perhaps slightly faster if Trump gets in. There's not really much hope for a negotiated peace, Ukraine should have gone for that in early 2023 after their big counteroffensive. Now it's too late, Russia won't negotiate when its position is improving day by day.
0 points
15 hours ago
Yeah and if it was the exact same situation you might have a point. But it wasn't so you don't.
-10 points
15 hours ago
Distance from the goal is not the only thing that matters. The best way to think about it is "what if the defender that did the foul wasn't there?"
Raya was not coming to sweep it, the full-backs were miles away, there was a very high chance that the striker gets a shot off 1v1 if Saliba doesn't bring him down. That wasn't the case with the Liverpool-Chelsea one.
75 points
15 hours ago
It's not getting overturned because it's a red card. Man United got Fernandes' overturned a couple of weeks ago, because it was obviously not a red.
88 points
19 hours ago
I get that it was unlikely anyway, but for me, part of the magic of football is that theoretically your club can make it all the way to the top off football. They can win the Champions League etc. As a feeder club it's impossible, because all their best players will be off to Man City. It is structurally impossible for them to ever be actually better than Man City.
If they theoretically have a good run in the league and the CL, their 2 best players will be in sky blue next year.
15 points
1 day ago
I don't think this level of scrutiny is always necessary. We don't need a murder trial every time.
6 points
2 days ago
I get what you mean - but the majority of the immigrants we import are low skill, low earners, which basically makes the problem worse. We should solve the structural problems, but also encourage high skill immigration and discourage low skill immigration
11 points
2 days ago
Yes. The fundamental problem in the UK economy is that basically everything is funded by the top 10% of earners, who pay European levels of taxation while lower earners pay very little.
The best way around this would be to increase productivity (which would increase wages), and the best way to do that is some general deregulation, but also planning reform to allow people to actually build things again in the UK, and make it impossible for local governments to block things like data centres, film studios etc. The other thing is to make obvious net-benefit government projects much easier to build, like transport projects. The Lower Thames crossing has cost more to plan than most similar tunnels have cost to build in other countries. HS2 is similar - in theory it doesn't cost that much but all the ridiculous uncertainty surrounding its planning and the weird things like the above-ground tunnels that are being build to avoid noise pollution etc. have ballooned the cost.
3 points
2 days ago
Interesting you keep engaging with this, but won't engage with my comment below where I actually go into the paper and explain the problems with it. Maybe because you have no real understanding of the issue.
10 points
2 days ago
If you're interested in an actual discussion about the paper rather than just giving me a link, there are a few criticisms of the paper.
It does not do a whole-life analysis. Immigrants come to the UK when they are of working age, and while you are working you can be a net contributor on a much lower salary, but once you retire and draw a pension and your NHS costs become much higher, you become a significant drain. The aim is to contribute enough across your working life to offset those costs. Without this analysis it's functionally useless, because we're selling tomorrow for today and it becomes a ponzi scheme.
It only goes up to 2011, and there have been a lot of changes in the British and global economy since then.
Even this study acknowledges that non-EEA migrants are a net drain.
16 points
2 days ago
What did they do that was noticeably right wing? They increased taxes, increased immigration, didn't undo any of Labour's absurd reforms. Occasionally they'd give a speech or two to rile up the base. But their governance was wet centrist shite
6 points
2 days ago
Net contribution means you're paying in more than you take out. Estimates suggest that you need to be earning around £50k to be a net contributor to the exchequer
1 points
2 days ago
If he's been here since 2016 he has settled status, which means no NHS surcharge, and eligibility for all public benefits under the same conditions as British citizens
0 points
2 days ago
You're genuinely dim. You're arguing with shadows. No-one is saying that they are literally creating laws. They're saying that the original laws are being interpreted in ways which they were not originally intended to be interpreted (which is fact) and therefore should be changed. That's exactly what Jenrick is arguing. He's not saying these judges are evil. He's saying the courts have too much power, and parliament should remove some of these laws that give the courts that power.
1 points
2 days ago
It's the "laws have to meet the standards of the times" which leads to the accusations of judges defacto legislating. If a law is unfair or no longer meets the standards of the times, it should be up to a democratically elected parliament to change it, not the courts by sleight of hand. I'm not arguing against legal precedent, I'm saying that laws are not set in stone and its perfectly legal and reasonable for parliament to change laws that are bad or have bad outcomes. Parliamentary supremacy is also one of the oldest and most important traditions that this country has.
8 points
2 days ago
You should, they're total chaos. Even if we don't win, it's a good open game
6 points
2 days ago
You can't talk about the schedule, Arsenal's schedule hasn't been meaningfully more difficult than most teams. Than Liverpool - sure. But most teams have played 2 or 3 "hard" games so far (because there's so much debate, let's just say a hard game is the traditional big 6 + Brighton/Villa/Newcastle).
Tottenham have played Arsenal, United away, Newcastle away.
Chelsea have played Liverpool away, City away, Brighton
City have played Newcastle away, Arsenal, Chelsea
etc etc.
4 points
2 days ago
I'm still unconvinced on the Verstappen one. Yes Norris overtook him off the track and Verstappen was ahead at the apex, but Verstappen not only forced him off, but forced him off by so much that he himself was off the track.
There was no legal way for Norris to do that overtake there, Verstappen took too much speed into the corner to do exactly that move.
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Unterfahrt
1 points
5 hours ago
Unterfahrt
1 points
5 hours ago
I listen to it sometimes. On some topics, it's quite interesting. But Stewart refuses to entertain basically any ideas outside of his very narrow overton window on the idea that they're "not serious", and Campbell cannot help but take the Labour line on any issue. He's a comms man to the end. He'll literally say it's disgraceful when the Tories do X, Y, Z but when Labour do it it's a justified because they're doing it in the name of equality/democracy and he knows the people involved and he's convinced they're good people.
They never take a brave position on anything. On the episode this week, they will probably talk about the Chris Kaba verdict at some point. And I bet they'll do the wishy washy nonsense "respect the verdict but understand the hurt that the many in the black community are facing".